Monday, March 30, 2020

IS IT OVER YET?


We are all a bit over the novelty of working from home, being socially distant from friends and not being able to go places we like to be -- a cafe, sports event, to the movies or grocery shopping.  We all have, what my Dad called, cabin fever and are eagerly looking for a date when this will all be over!  

If you've been following this blog, you've noticed I update the COVID-19 'reported' statistics twice a day - the number of 'reported' cases, the number of 'reported' critical cases and the number of 'reported' deaths.  


'Reported'


I put the word 'reported' in quotes each time because some countries are too busy fighting the virus attacking their people to be worried about keeping stats, some do not have enough test kits, some are not forthcoming with the truth about their statistics for political reasons and some are changing strategies (such as dramatically increasing testing) which impacts their statistics when compared to other countries.  

We must all be patient and understand that until this is over, accurate data will not be available -- in some countries, we may never know the extent of the infection or the death rate, etc.


Unexpected benefits to find during this journey, such as:

If we are honest, there are some positive benefits we are beginning to realise, such as how we are:
  • Starting to look more closely at the value of family, friends and colleagues/ workmates
  • Finding creative ways to reach out to loved ones and long-lost friends
  • Learning how to be productive from home, despite the distractions
  • Realising how satisfying it is to have some time to think and reflect on what is important in our lives  
  • Revisiting simple preventative measures to keep us healthier into the future
  • Awakening to the surprising value of science and mathematics in our daily life.  

The Light at the End of the Tunnel


In an effort to stimulate your thinking again (after the amazing simulator from the article before this one) here is a way to understand 'the light at the end of the tunnel' - a question in everyone's heart and mind - when will this all be over!  

I found it fascinating, however, I apologise because it will only take up a bit over seven minutes of your long day today. 


Enjoy!

Thanks to the Brilliant work of 
Aatish's Exponential/Logistic Curve-Fitting
Click on the picture above or copy and 
paste the link below into your browser:
Or search YouTube for
How to Tell if We're Beating COVID-19

Even more Mathematics:

This is a brilliant explanation of 'exponential'.  

Thanks to 3Blue1Brown and
Minutephysics and Aatish Bhatia
Click on the picture above or the link below:
or copy and paste the link into your browser
or search YouTube for
Exponential Growth and Epidemics

No comments:

Post a Comment

New disease

I was left with 'long COVID' and it is supposed to be from micro-clots gathering in my lungs. I wonder if it is related to this New...